Peru 2025: The Consolidation of Chaos
Incio, J.
Associate Professor · Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú
I study electoral behavior, political corruption, and democratic accountability in Latin America.
My work focuses on subnational politics and combines experiments, quantitative methods, and computational text analysis. This fall I am a Mid-Career Fellow at the Center for Inter-American Policy and Research, Tulane University.
Electoral behavior
How voters choose when information is scarce and party systems are weak.
Corruption and accountability
Reelection, recall, and how citizens punish or forgive corrupt politicians.
Democratic backsliding
New paths to autocratization, including legislative authoritarianism in Peru.
Selected publications
All publications →-
2026
When electoral reforms backfire: reassessing reelection's impact on corruption
DOIProject: Subnational Territorial Governance and Corruption in Peru
- 2025
- 2024
- 2024
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2022
From Drug Lords to Police State: The Effects of Order Transition on Local Economies
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Work in progress
All working papers →Drafts available on request.
A Vote of Confidence? Corruption, Accountability, and Local Candidate Preferences in a Developing Democracy
Incio, J., Muñoz, P., & Bird, M.
Competing Narratives of Welcome? Migration Shocks and Elite Communication
González-Rostani, V., Incio, J., & Lezama, G.
Calidad de la visita y bienestar de las personas privadas de libertad
Bracco Bruce, L., & Incio, J.
Electoral Incentives, Natural Resource Revenues, and Local Protests: Evidence from Peru
Chang, A., & Incio, J.
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Funding and awards
- 2026CAP (proyectos ganadores del CAP, Dirección de Fomento de la Investigación, Vicerrectorado de Investigación PUCP), PUCP · Principal Investigator
- 2025Proyectos de Investigación en Ciencias Sociales 2025-04 (E041-2025-04), Prociencia (CONCYTEC) · Principal Investigator (Technical Lead)
- 2024Research Grant in Social Sciences, Prociencia (National Science Agency) · Co-Investigator
- 2024CAP Investigación 2024, PUCP (Vicerrectorado de Investigación, Dirección de Fomento de la Investigación)
- 2023Research Support Fund (FAI), Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú
- 2022National Research Grant, Consortium of Economic and Social Research (CIES)
- 2021National Digital Democracy Award (Premio Democracia Digital), Democracia Digital (Peru)
Earlier fellowships
- 2020–2021Andrew W. Mellon Predoctoral Fellowship, University of Pittsburgh
- 2019–2020Arts & Science Fellowship, Dietrich School of Arts and Science
- 2016–2017Latin American Social and Public Policy Fellowship, University of Pittsburgh
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Public engagement
Hechos y No Palabras
A nonpartisan portal that tracks how members of Congress and other political actors voted on major policy reforms, ahead of the 2026 general election. Close to 80,000 visits.
DecideBien
A voter information platform to help citizens navigate the large number of candidates and information in Peruvian elections. Close to one million visits and the National Digital Democracy Award.
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